GLOBAL MARKETS-China stocks jump on Politburo policy shift; Aussie falls after RBA

Others
* Hang Seng last up 0.8%; CSI300 up 1.4% * China bond yields hit record lows * Australia c.bank strikes dovish tone (Updates prices to Asia afternoon) By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE, Dec 10 (Reuters) - China stocks surged and commodities found support on Tuesday on Beijing's new promises of rate cuts and a boost to consumption, while the Australian dollar slid and global stocks were wobbly ahead of a crucial U.S. inflation reading. Australia's central bank left its cash rate unchanged at 4.35% as expected, though the Aussie AUD=D3 fell sharply in the aftermath as policymakers toned down their hawkish language. Overnight, the S&P 500 .SPX fell 0.6% and futures ESc1 dipped 0.04% in the Asian afternoon. A 2.5% drop for chip titan Nvidia NVDA.O , which edged a fraction lower still in after-hours trade following China opening an antitrust investigation, weighed on the mood. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS rose a touch, helped by a 0.8% gain for the Hang Seng index .HSI and a 1.4% rise in the blue chip CSI300 .CSI300 index. .HK Japan's Nikkei .N225 rose 0.5%. .T A statement from China's Politburo on Monday had already spurred a late surge in Hong Kong stocks and sent yields on Chinese government bonds to record lows on bets there is help at hand to lift sluggish spending and economic growth. State media outlet Xinhua reported the top Communist Party officials had shifted the monetary policy stance from "prudent" to "moderately loose," mirroring their response in previous crises, and would stabilise markets and "vigorously" boost consumption. "The statement signals potential rate cuts, fiscal expansion and asset buying ahead," said analysts at ANZ in a note, though with the magnitude unclear and further details possibly coming later in the week from the Central Economic Work Conference. The rally lifted China's major indexes to one-month highs with consumer shares notching large gains. The optimism also overshadowed dismal China trade numbers, which showed exports grew at a slower pace in November while imports unexpectedly shrank. But the runaway rally in Chinese bonds, which extended on Tuesday to drive 10-year CN10YT=RR and 30-year yields CN30YT=RR to record lows suggests some investors doubt the pledges are going to lift long-run growth in China. "In the past demand for credit outstripped supply, making it straightforward for the PBOC to boost credit growth by cutting policy rates," said Julian Evans-Pritchard, head of China economics at Capital Economics. "By contrast, there is now limited appetite among households and large parts of the private sector to take on more debt, even at lower rates. That leaves most of the burden of stimulating the economy on fiscal policy." WAITING ON CPI Australian ore miners caught a boost from China's policy shift, with Fortescue FMG.AX up almost 7% and Rio Tinto RIO.AX rising more than 5%. .AX The Aussie AUD=D3 last traded 0.76% lower at $0.6392. The Reserve Bank of Australia said in its policy statement on Tuesday that the board had gained "some confidence" that inflation was heading back to target. RBA Governor Michele Bullock, speaking after the policy meeting, left the door open to a cut in interest rates as early as February. The U.S. consumer price report is out Wednesday and the core is seen holding at 3.3% for November, which should be no impediment to an easing. Interest rate futures imply an 85% chance of a rate cut next week is priced in by the market. Traders are also expecting rate cuts in Europe and Canada later this week and are leaning towards a 50 basis point cut in Switzerland as authorities may like to tap the brakes on the franc's relentless rise against the euro EURCHF= . The euro EUR=EBS traded at $1.0556 and 0.9264 francs. The Japanese yen JPY=EBS , which was the best-performing G10 currency in November as expectations have grown for a December rate hike in Japan, was little changed at 151.23 per dollar. Positioning data shows speculators flipped to a long yen position last week 1097741NNET for the first time in more than a month. Oil prices rose on Monday on the news of China's policy plans and as the sudden fall of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad highlighted instability in the Middle East and geopolitical risk. But Brent crude futures LCOc1 fell 0.53% to $71.76 a barrel on Tuesday. Gold XAU= hovered at $2,669.23 an ounce while bitcoin BTC= fetched $96,750. <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ World FX rates YTD http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh Asian stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4 ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^> (Reporting by Tom Westbrook in Singapore; Editing by Jamie Freed and Kim Coghill) (([email protected]; +65 6973 8284;))
Details
Published Date
10 Dec 2024 at 1:53 PM
Publisher
Refinitiv
Share

Related News

Discover other related news