GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks fall as elevated yields weigh

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* U.S., European stocks fall * Dollar up broadly but weaker vs yen * 10-year U.S. Treasury yield falls but holds above 4.5% * Energy sector only gainer among S&P 500 sectors (Updates with close of European markets) By Chuck Mikolajczak NEW YORK, Dec 30 (Reuters) - Global stocks dropped for a third straight session on Monday as the recent bout of elevated U.S. Treasury yields prompted profit-taking at the end of a strong year for equities. On Wall Street, all three major U.S. indexes were broadly lower but off earlier lows, with energy .SPNY the only gainer among the 11 major S&P 500 sectors. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield's recent push above the 4.5% mark after the Federal Reserve on Dec. 18 signaled that it would take a slower interest rate-cut path has fueled concerns about elevated stock market valuations. "The bond market has somewhat taken its cue from what's happening in the equities market," said Jim Barnes, director of fixed income at Bryn Mawr Trust in Berwyn, Pennsylvania. "Investors did some profit-taking in equities and maybe re-deployed to fixed income. At this point, the bond market is compelling given the recent rise in bond yields over the past weeks." The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI fell 286.59 points, or 0.65%, to 42,712.11, the S&P 500 .SPX fell 41.52 points, or 0.70%, to 5,929.32, and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC fell 139.41 points, or 0.68%, to 19,587.23. In a Sunday note, Julian Emanuel, senior managing director leading equity, derivatives and quantitative strategy at Evercore ISI in New York, said rising bond yields are the biggest challenge to the current cyclical bull market, with key levels for the 10-year yield at 4.5%, 4.75% and 5%. U.S. stocks have rallied this year, with the S&P 500 up more than 24%, buoyed by growth expectations surrounding artificial intelligence, expected rate cuts from the Fed, and more recently, the likelihood of deregulation policies from the incoming Trump administration. But the recent economic forecast from the Fed, along with worries that Trump's policies such as tariffs may prove to be inflationary, have sent yields higher, with the 10-year reaching its highest level since May 2 at 4.641% last week. U.S. yields were lower on Monday, however, and briefly extended declines after data showed business activity in the U.S. Midwest contracted more than expected in December. Other data showed U.S. pending home sales rose more than expected in November, in a fourth straight month of gains, as buyers took advantage of better inventory despite elevated mortgage rates. MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS lost 5.05 points, or 0.59%, to 846.57, but is still up more than 16% on the year. Trading volumes were muted ahead of the New Year holiday on Wednesday. Stock markets in Germany, Italy and Switzerland are also closed on Tuesday, while those in the UK and France have a half-day trading session. European stocks were also weaker due to elevated yields, with the 10-year German bund yield DE10YT=RR holding near six-week highs. The pan-European STOXX 600 .STOXX index closed down 0.46%, its first decline after three straight sessions of gains. Bond investors may also be wary of increasing supply as U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has promised tax cuts with little in the way of details for restraining government spending. The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes US10YT=RR fell 6.8 basis points to 4.551%. Widening interest rate differentials have boosted the appeal of the U.S. dollar. The dollar index =USD , which measures the greenback against other major currencies, is up 6.6% on the year. On Monday, the index rose 0.1% to 108.09, with the euro EUR= down 0.27% at $1.0399. The single currency is down nearly 6% on the year versus the greenback. Against the yen JPY= , the dollar weakened 0.51% to 157.01 but was still holding at levels which recently prompted an intervention in the currency by Japanese officials. U.S. crude CLc1 advanced 0.67% to $71.07 a barrel, and Brent LCOc1 rose to $74.40 per barrel, up 0.31% on the day. To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets For the state of play of Asian stock markets please click on: 0#.INDEXA <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ World FX rates YTD http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh Monthly change in pending U.S. home sales https://reut.rs/4fEuhhu ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^> (Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak; additional reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss in New York, and Johann M Cherian and Pranav Kashyap in Bengaluru; Editing by Susan Fenton and Leslie Adler) (([email protected]; @ChuckMik;))
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Published Date
31 Dec 2024 at 3:09 AM
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Refinitiv
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